Middle-income Trap: Upaya Pembangunan Manusia dan Peran Pemerintah
Keywords:
Human development, foreign direct investment , household consumption expenditure, government expenditure, corruption, government interventionAbstract
The most important reason why the middle-income countries, including Indonesia, can't reach the level of economic growth in high-income countries is that their level of productivity is lower than high-income countries. In order to increase their productivity levels, they must primarily increase human development. The study aims to test determinants that influence human development and the importance of government intervention. The research object is middle-income countries in the period 2015--2019. Data panel is used and tested using fixed effect model approach. The results showed household consumption and government expenditure had positive effect on human development. Meanwhile, foreign direct investment and corruption have no effect on human development. The results of this study are expected to be inputs and considerations for the Indonesian government in order to create strategies and public policies that support national development that focuses on improving the capabilities and competitiveness of their people through human development.
Downloads
References
Afiftah, A. T., Juliprijanto, W., & Destiningsih, R. (2019). Analisis pengaruh pengeluaran konsumsi pemerintah dan pengeluaran konsumsi rumah tangga terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 1988-2017. DINAMIC: Directory Journal of Economic, 1(1), 11-22.
Aitken, B. J., & Harrison, A. E. (1999). Do domestic firms benefit from direct foreign investment? Evidence from Venezuela. American Economic Review, 89(3), 605–618. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.3.605
Akçay, S. (2006). Corruption and human development. Cato J., 26, 29.
Ali, S. A., Raza, H., & Yousuf, M. U. (2012). The role of fiscal policy in human development: the Pakistan's perspective. The Pakistan Development Review, 381-394. https://doi.org/10.30541/v51i4iipp.381-396
Anand, S., & Ravallion, M. (1993). Human Development in Poor Countries: On the Role of Private Incomes and Public Services. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(1), 133–150. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.7.1.133
Asian Development Bank. (2018). Avoiding the middle-income trap in Asia : the role of trade, manufacturing, and finance. Diakses dari https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/469276/adbi-avoiding-middle-income-trap-asia.pdf
Asra, T. P. (2020). Analisis Pengaruh Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Human Development Index (HDI), Corruption Perception Index (CPI) Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Ketimpangan Pendapatan Di Asean. Diakses dari https://repository.uinjkt.ac.id/dspace/handle/123456789/54516
Assadzadeh, A., & Pourqoly, J. (2013). The Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment, Institutional Quality and Poverty: Case of MENA Countries. Journal of Economics, Business and Management, 1(2), 161–165. https://doi.org/10.7763/joebm.2013.v1.35
Baldacci, E., Clements, B., Gupta, S., & Cui, Q. (2008). Social spending, human capital, and growth in developing countries. World development, 36(8), 1317-1341. 10.1016/j.worlddev.2007.08.003.
BPS. (2021). Keadaan Angkatan Kerja di Indonesia Februari 2021. Diakses dari https://www.bps.go.id/publication/2021/06/08/b547a5642aeb04d071cb83d4/keadaan-angkatan-kerja-di-indonesia-februari-2021.html
Borensztein, E., De Gregorio, J., & Lee, J.-W. (1998). How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth?. Journal of International Economics, 45(1), 115–135
Cabaravdic, A., & Nilsson, M. (2017). The Effect of Corruption on Economic Growth.
Chetwynd, E., Chetwynd, F., & Spector, B. (2003). Corruption and poverty: A review of recent literature. Management System International, 600, 5–16.
Christelis, D, D Georgarakos, T Jappelli and G Kenny. (2020). The COVID-19 Crisis and Consumption: Survey Evidence from Six EU Countries. ECB Working Paper 2507.
Commerce and Economic Development Bureau. (2020). LCQ10: Locally produced face masks. https://www.cedb.gov.hk/en/legco-business/questions/2021/pr27012021a.html#:~:text=(1)%20and%20(2),American%20Society%20for%20Testing%20and
De Mello, L (1999). Foreign direct investment-led growth: Evidence from time series and panel data. Oxford Economic Papers, 51, 133–151.
Field, Andy. (2009) Discovering Statistics Using SPSS. 3rd Edition, Sage Publications Ltd., London.
Firdauzi, A. (2020). Pengaruh Indikator Inklusi Keuangan, GDPPC, TIK, Pengangguran, Dan FDI Terhadap IPM Pada Negara OKI Tahun 2004-2018. http://repository.unair.ac.id/id/eprint/104300
Gujarati, Damodar N. dan Dawn C. Porter. (2009). Basic econometrics (edisi ke-5). New York: The McGraw-Hill Companies.
Hamdi, H., & Hakimi, A. (2021). Trade Openness, Foreign Direct Investment, and Human Development: A Panel Cointegration Analysis for MENA Countries. The International Trade Journal, 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1080/08853908.2021.1905115
Huang, C. (2016). North American Journal of Economics and Finance Is corruption bad for economic growth ? Evidence from Asia-Pacific countries. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 35(100), 247–256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2015.10.013
Hoechle, Daniel. (2007). Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence. The Stata Journal,7(3): 281–312
Hysa, E. (2011). Corruption and human development: Albania and EU-27. Social Studies Journal, 5(2), 43-52.
Ibrahim M., Sare Y.A. (2018). Determinants of financial development in Africa: How robust is the interactive effect of trade openness and human capital?. Economic Analysis and Policy, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2018.09.002
Ihsannudin. (2020). Presiden Jokowi: Kita Punya Peluang Jadi Negara Berpenghasilan Tinggi. Diakses dari https://nasional.kompas.com/read/2020/07/04/11513221/presiden-jokowi-kita-punya-peluang-jadi-negara-berpenghasilan-tinggi
Kaufmann, Daniel, Aart Kraay and Pablo Zoido- Lobaton. (1999). Governance Matters. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 2196.
Kementerian Keuangan. (2020). KEM PPKF 2020 Update DPR. Diakses dari https://fiskal.kemenkeu.go.id/data/document/kem/2020/kemppkfupdateDPR.pdf
Kementerian Koordinator Perekonomian. (2021). Pemerintah Memberikan Bantuan 35 Juta Masker untuk Masyarakat Dalam Rangka Pelaksanaan PPKM Mikro. https://ekon.go.id/publikasi/detail/1781/pemerintah-memberikan-bantuan-35-juta-masker-untuk-masyarakat-dalam-rangka-pelaksanaan-ppkm-mikro
Keynes, John Maynard. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.
Kim, Seoyong & Kim, Donggeun. (2011). Does Government Make People Happy? Exploring New Research Direction for Government’s Roles in Happiness. Journal of Happiness Studies An Interdisciplinary Forum on Subjective Well-Being, 7(2), 1389-4978.
Kira, A. R. (2013). The Factors Affecting Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Developing Countries : The Case of Tanzania. 5(4), 148–158.
Korle, K., Amoah, A., Hughes, G., Pomeyie, P., & Ahiabor, G. (2020). Investigating the role of disaggregated economic freedom measures and FDI on human development in Africa. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 36(4), 303–321. https://doi.org/10.1108/jeas-02-2019-0017
Larson, G., Loayza, N., & Woolcock, M. (2016). The Middle-Income Trap: Myth or Reality? World Bank Research and Policy Briefs, 104230.
Lewis J .(2014). Income, Expenditure and Personal Well-being, 2011/12. Research Report, UK Office for National Statistics. Newport, South Wales. Diakses dari www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171766_365207.pdf
Lucas, Robert Jr. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), 3-42.
Maharda, J. B., & Aulia, B. Z. (2020). Government Expenditure and Human Development in Indonesia. Jambura Equilibrium Journal, 2(2), 81–94. https://doi.org/10.37479/jej.v2i2.6901
Mangkoesoebroto, Guritno. (2002). Ekonomi Publik. Yogyakarta : PBFE.
Omodero, C. O. (2019). Government General Spending and Human Development: A Case Study of Nigeria. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 8(1), 51–59. https://doi.org/10.2478/ajis-2019-0005
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. (2002). Foreign Direct Investment For Development: Maximising Benefits, Minimising Costs. OECD: Paris.
Ozturk, I. (2007). Foreign direct investment-growth nexus: A review of the recent literature. International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, 4(2), 79–98.
Primadhya, S. (2021). Diakses 1 Agustus 2021. Li Jianquan, Jadi Konglomerat Berkat Masker dan APD. https://www.cnnindonesia.com/ekonomi/2021042713345
Rajkumar, A. S., & Swaroop, V. (2008). Public spending and outcomes: Does governance matter? Journal of Development Economics, 86(1), 96–111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2007.08.003
Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing returns and long run growth. Journal of Political Economic. 94: 1002 – 37.
Sharma, B., & Gani, A. (2004). The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on Human Development. Global Economy Journal, 4(2), 1850025. https://doi.org/10.2202/1524-5861.1049
Shen, J. F., Ye, C. D., & Zhu, Y. X. (2018). Research on externality economic evaluation of China’s education and training industry based on cognitive perspective. Cognitive Systems Research, 52, 571–578.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cogsys.2018.08.004
Subandoro, Y. K. (2017). Pengaruh Korupsi Terhadap Peranan Pengeluaran Negara Dalam Meningkatkan Pembangunan Manusia. Kajian Ekonomi Dan Keuangan, 1(3), 258–272. https://doi.org/10.31685/kek.v1i3.305
Sugiyono. (2016). Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif, dan R&D. Bandung: CV Alvabeta.
Transparency International. (2020). Corruption Perception Index Full Data Set. Diakses dari https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2020/index/nzl
Transparency International. (2020). The Global Corruption Barometer Asia 2020. Diakses dari https://www.transparency.org/en/publications/gcb-asia-2020
United Nations Development Programme. (1990). Human Development Report 1990. Diakses dari http://hdr.undp.org/en/reports/global/hdr1990
United Nations Development Programme. (2021). Human Development Data Center. Diakses dari http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-index-hdi
Wang, Wenxiao, C. Frindlay, S. Thangavelu. (2021). Trade, technology, and the labour market: impacts on wage inequality within countries. Asian-Pasific Economic Literature. https://doi.org/10.1111/apel.12313
Wildan, Muhammad. (2020). Keluar dari Middle Income Trap, BKF: Produktivitas SDM Perlu Dibenahi. Diakses dari https://news.ddtc.co.id/keluar-dari-middle-income-trap-bkf-produktivitas-sdm-perlu-dibenahi-21633?page_y=2709.60009765625
World Bank. (2000). Anti-Corruption in Transition: A Contribution to the Policy Debate (No. 20925, pp. 1-0).
World Bank. (2020). Dampak Sosial Transformasi Ekonomi. Diakses dari http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/132131468051887925/pdf/889290REVISED00y0review020140bahasa.pdf
World Bank. (2021). World Bank Open Data. Diakses dari https://data.worldbank.org/
Yankson, E. D. (2019). Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Household Consumption Expenditure (Doctoral dissertation, University of Ghana). Annals of Tropical Paediatrics, 7(3), 154–15.
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Copyright (c) 2022 Tasya Pramasela, Subagio Subagio

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-SA) that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).